Wednesday 4:20 PM–5:00 PM in Central Park West (#6501)

Generational changes in support for gun laws: a case study in computational statistics

Allen Downey

Audience level:
Intermediate

Description

In the United States, support for gun control has been declining among all age groups since 1990; among young adults, support is substantially lower than among previous generations.  Using data from the General Social Survey (GSS), I perform age-period-cohort analysis to measure and predict these generational effects.

Abstract

In this talk, I demonstrate a computational approach to statistics that replaces mathematical analysis with random simulation.  Using Python and libraries like NumPy and StatsModels, we can define basic operations — like resampling, filling missing values, modeling, and prediction — and assemble them into a data analysis pipeline.

This approach is more flexible than math-based statistics, and fits better into an incremental software development process.  The result is a set of versatile, reusable components and novel analytic methods.

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